Analyzing Bitcoin’s Price History
Bitcoin’s novelty as an asset class means that its story is still being crafted. Its price has mostly mimicked the classic Gartner Hype Cycle of peaks due to hype about its potential and troughs of disillusionment that resulted in crashes. In the cycle’s structure, speculative bubbles are necessary to provide funding and drive a new technology’s evolution. And so, each swell and ebb in Bitcoin's price has shone a spotlight on the shortcomings of its ecosystem and provided a fresh infusion of investor funds to develop its infrastructure.
Previous analysis of Bitcoin's price made the case that its price was a function of its velocity or its use as a currency for daily transactions and trading. But crypto trading volumes are a fraction of their mainstream counterparts and Bitcoin never really took off as a medium of daily transaction. This is partly due to the fact that the narrative around Bitcoin has changed from being a currency to a store of value, where people buy and hold for long periods of time rather than use it for transactions
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